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American politics
- Thread starter Danishfurniturelover
- Start date
Mikey10
Pat van den Hauwe
Relax. I think the data guru is Paul Whitehouse reviving a character from The Fast Show.
JerusalemMan
Johnny Morrison
Saw a William Hill advert today offering 50/1 on a Trump victory.
Mikey10
Pat van den Hauwe
I hope they are right. When it comes to the US election I’ve got the same feeling I have when we are 2-0 up in a game with 15 minutes to go.
The betting is weird out there at the moment.
Volume of bets is hugely in Biden's favour, but the money is heavily trending to Trump.
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Worth a punt
milo
Jack L. Jones
Interesting - looks like my info was more out of date than I thought.
Still strange that so much money was going on Trump when the chances of him winning are so small.
milo
Jack L. Jones
I think that people were over estimating the chances of a repeat of four years ago. He had all the votes where he needed them then and an opponent who played to his strengths. It doesn't look like either is the case this time.
milo
Jack L. Jones
I think that I've recommended Political Betting to you before @scaramanga . I'm not much of a gambler but I think that their politics writing is very good.
https://www2.politicalbetting.com/
https://www2.politicalbetting.com/
At the time though the volume was way towards Biden. But more money was going on Trump by a margin.
That's quite telling, I think.
milo
Jack L. Jones
Yeah. I do think that people were overestimating the chances of a repeat of 2016.
The campaign hasn't been fought on the areas that Trump would want and he's been far less successful smearing his opponent this time. I also think that people are tired of him. All the brick around him is mentally exhausting.
Rorschach
Sonny Walters
It is, but is from 2016 (New York voting location). Neither Melania nor fake Melania have voted yet.
Rorschach
Sonny Walters
In 2016 at this time Clinton's numbers were starting to slip (her emails!!) but Biden's are steady. The laptop nonsense hasn't moved too many people because it didn't even have a plausible storyline.
milo
Jack L. Jones
The Hunter Biden stuff is just deflecting from the criminal activity of his kids. He's trying to close off nepotism and cronyism as an electoral issue.
