I think you and Raziel are both arguing your case really well here. I instinctively land more on your side, but it’s been fun to read this debate.
The question I have for
@Raziel , is that even if we accept things weren’t that bad under Levy, t
hat post 2019 wasn’t a clear drop, did anything at all suggest we could progress on from there? Because it feels like even the bull case for Levy is that he has us largely in the top 6, largely in Europe, and that’s great, but there are another couple of gears to go up from there, and I just don’t think Levy had any clue about how to get us there.
I find myself almost agreeing with the idea that there wasn’t
a big drop attributable to Levy since 2019. But then I look at those league finishes, and
the range of different managers, and I just see no plan to get further. To challenge for the title, genuinely and consistently. I think his playbook will have just reached the limit of its effectiveness, and it was time to move on.
Through a lens of being a top 6 club, he’d done an excellent job pre 2019 and arguably a good one since. Through the lens of building a title challenger, he wasn’t the guy.
So completely different conversation.
- Do I believe the club dropped off some cliff in 2019, no
- Do I believe the last 2 seasons are that said cliff, yes
- Do I believe some of that was just inevitable cycle, yes
- Do I believe (to your point), we built well enough to sustain, no
I'll give you an alternative option that shows what I mean
1. Our current history, we succeeded the best 3 seasons and manager/team combination with a very short term focus with 2 win now managers, got moderate results but not quite over the line, manager in after, actually got us the monkey off the back trophy but oversaw a slide in the PL that we haven't be able to fix (yet), result 2 x 17th place, and a narrative of 6-10 years (btw, the 10 year comments are hilarious) of decline
2. Alternate option, in Nov/Dec of Ange's 2nd season it's already clear, club makes a decision and fires him, lets arguably say we go for RDZ then (he's supposedly been on our radar for years), we buy properly in January then again in summer. Lets arguably say we got back to 8th in that season, 60 points this season would have got us 6th, 66 points (same as Ange's first season) would have got us back into top 4 and CL.
That's why to me, people are confusing things
- Did we have the budget/spend to consistently push top 4 and challenge for things? no, we haven't been there long before current ownership restrictions
- Did we genuinely fudge up in the last 2 years (not last 6), yes, it was correctable, I'd argue it was correctable up until January this year (fire Frank, hire RDZ, buy 3-4 players then), if we took action, the first 17th place would have been an outlier caveated by cup win, now it's a pattern.
I go back to what the game is now
- Liverpool spent 400M on a title winning squad and regressed
- Arsenal has spent >1B on a squad for Arteta
- United spent 200M+ on 3 front line players last season and from talk are going to spend more this year.
- Chelsea's spend is uncountable.
Right now we are playing net zero spend, and our fans think the problem is 6 years ago .. make no mistake, I think RDZ is a good manager and will have us punch above our weight, but if the plan is Robertson, Senesi, JVH, Savino, Harry Wilson and maybe one real attacking intent signing (MGW or a CF), it isn't enough and no amount of hindsight blaming will change that.