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Would relegation be that bad?

Glenda's Legs said:
As much as there might be (would be) match-going positives about it, we simply can’t afford to drop down. Plus it’s in no way guaranteed we’d come straight back up as we did before.
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This. Absolutley no given to come back up. Would be an absolute disaster if we go down

Last time it happened we only just scraped promotion back to Division One
 
Gutter Boy said:
- Cheaper and more plentiful tickets
- Less subscriptions to pay to legitimately watch games on tv
- Drop in value of club would stir interest of potential buyers, so more chance that Connie and Fredo will bugger off
- Chance for a deep structural clean and refresh - it seemed to do Villa good long term
- New brochure of exotic away trips

I could get on board with this i think

Any more upsides?
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Connie and Fredo 😁
 
It's a tough one.
There is a good argument it was a well needed reset for Villa, Saudi Sportswashing Machine and, to a lesser degree West Ham. Perhaps Leeds in there too?

Obviously best to, ya know, not be that brick
 
monkeybarry said:
It's a tough one.
There is a good argument it was a well needed reset for Villa, Saudi Sportswashing Machine and, to a lesser degree West Ham. Perhaps Leeds in there too?

Obviously best to, ya know, not be that brick
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Villa would have been fudged if they hadn’t got promoted at the second attempt. No guarantee we would come back up. Every team would come to our shiny ground and want to beat us.
 
6pts off the drop now. Time to address what a complete fudging disaster it would be.

How would we approach getting back up?
Who gets sold?

Here are some assumptions based on ChatGPT.

Projected Revenues 2025/26
  • TV Revenue: $175M
  • UCL: $75M
  • Matchday: $150M
  • Commercial: $250M
Total: $650Million

Championship
Projected Revenues 2026/27
  • TV Revenue w/ Parachute : $65M
  • Matchday: $85M
  • Commercial: $100M
Total: $250Million

Expenditure
  • Player wage bill £125M
  • Coaching, Medical, Academy £50M
  • General Staff wages £50M
  • Owed Transfer fees £100M
  • Additional running costs £125M
  • Loan repayments £50M
Total: £500Million
- £100M assumes savings from clauses and redundancies
Total: £400Million

Estimated Loss: £150Million


Tottenham 2025/26 Weekly Wages
Xavi Simons – £195,000
Cristian Romero – £195,000
James Maddison – £170,000
Conor Gallagher – £150,000
Mohammed Kudus – £150,000
Dejan Kulusevski – £110,000
Rodrigo Bentancur – £100,000
Richarlison – £90,000
Dominic Solanke – £90,000
Pedro Porro – £85,000
Radu Dragusin – £85,000
Ben Davies – £80,000 - Out of Contract
Guglielmo Vicario – £75,000
Archie Gray – £75,000
Destiny Udogie – £75,000
Pape Matar Sarr – £70,000
Lucas Bergvall – £65,000
Manor Solomon – £60,000
Djed Spence – £60,000
Yves Bissouma – £55,000 - Out of Contract
Micky van de Ven – £50,000
Wilson Odobert – £40,000
Souza – £25,000
Antonín Kinský – £25,000
Ashley Phillips – £20,000
Luka Vuskovic - £20,000
Mikey Moore – £20,000
Brandon Austin – £15,000
Kota Takei - £15,000
Yang Min-hyeok – £7,500
Dane Scarlett – £5,000
Alfie Devine – £5,000
George Abbot - £5,000
Jamie Donely - £5,000
Will Lankshear - £5,000
Mason Melia - £5,000
James Wilson - £5,000
Tyrese Hall - £2,500
Junai Byfield - £2,500
Luca Williams Barnett - £2,500
Luca Gunter - £2,500
U21 + Academy + Women - £65,000
Total weekly wage bill: £2,400,000
 
Raziel said:
Levy would come in and buy back the club at half price
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I always thought Levy wouldn't be appreciated until he was gone, but didn't expect it to unravel this quick.

Makes you wonder if we were overachieving all these years, second in the PL, CL final. Maybe it's a bit like Charlton and Curbishley, thinking we'd be better off without him.
 
Here are some assumptions based on ChatGPT.

Projected Revenues 2025/26
  • TV Revenue: $175M
  • UCL: $75M
  • Matchday: $150M
  • Commercial: $250M
Total: $650Million

Championship
Projected Revenues 2026/27
  • TV Revenue w/ Parachute : $65M
  • Matchday: $85M
  • Commercial: $100M
Total: $250Million

Expenditure
  • Player wage bill £125M
  • Coaching, Medical, Academy £50M
  • General Staff wages £50M
  • Owed Transfer fees £100M
  • Additional running costs £125M
  • Loan repayments £50M
Total: £500Million
- £100M assumes savings from clauses and redundancies
Total: £400Million

Estimated Loss: £150Million
 
Conservatively you would get in about £325M in transfer fees. Assume about £150M coming in upfront. Then about £80M of the wage bill. All those big earns would need to go.

Tottenham 2025/26 Weekly Wages
Xavi Simons – £195,000 - £40M
Cristian Romero – £195,000 - £40M
James Maddison – £170,000 - Free
Conor Gallagher – £150,000 - £30M
Mohammed Kudus – £150,000 - £40M
Dejan Kulusevski – £110,000 - £20M
Rodrigo Bentancur – £100,000 - £10M
Richarlison – £90,000 - £10M
Dominic Solanke – £90,000 - £30M
Pedro Porro – £85,000 - £30M
Radu Dragusin – £85,000 - £20M
Ben Davies – £80,000 - Out of Contract
Guglielmo Vicario – £75,000 £25M
Yves Bissouma – £55,000 - Out of Contract
Micky van de Ven – £50,000 - £60M

Could have this squad without signing anyone.

Kinsky
Spence Danso Vuskovic Udogie
Sarr Gray Bergvall
Odobert Tel Moore

Austin
Byfield Phillips Takei Souza
Abbot Hall Devine
Yang Lankshear W.Barnett

fudge I’m sort of up for it.
 
Why would anyone want relegation. If we get relegated we might never come back is that what some of you want. I was around for the last relegation definitely don't want that again.
 
Just looked at the fixtures, and it’s not easy to see where the points will come from the way we Are going. But if we somehow manage to beat wolves, Leeds and Everton at Home we’ll be at 38 points, throw in a draw here and there and that should do it. But it’s going to be a slog to Get there. No way Frank can survive this if we go down or barley scrape survival.
 
Gutter Boy said:
- Cheaper and more plentiful tickets
- Less subscriptions to pay to legitimately watch games on tv
- Drop in value of club would stir interest of potential buyers, so more chance that Connie and Fredo will bugger off
- Chance for a deep structural clean and refresh - it seemed to do Villa good long term
- New brochure of exotic away trips

I could get on board with this i think

Any more upsides?
Click to expand...
I bet you they wouldn't reduce ticket prices, there would just be less grade "A" games. Anyway, we'll find out next season. The club can look back at the January transfer window to determine the moment we voted for relegation
 
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