Personally, I think it would have been more than a down year. The age profile of the first team made the squad vulnerable, we had bought bad replacements for key departures like Walker and we had some tough injuries dilemmas with guys like Rose, Wanyama, Dier, Dembele, Winks and especially Dele who never recovered from his soft tissue hammy injuries. Our new signing Gio was another fragile guy and we all had high hopes for him and Ndombele at the time. We of course then went into COVID times as well.
My challenge at the time was Poch had compromised his beliefs and pandered to players. He should have just put us into his favoured 4-2-3-1 system and he should have been tougher on guys like Sonny who wasn't giving us anything defensively. He should have been stricter with a guy like Sissoko who was just playing with his heart and not using his brain. He should have demanded more consistency from Moura. There were problems all over the place and Poch was just trying to mould some sort of hybrid formation that I don't really feel he believed in. He had also played with such high intensity for so many seasons and that took his toll.
Philosophically, I agree with you about him riding it out though. It couldn't have been worse than what we saw unfold.
I get wary of this conversation, because people want a side to prove right. For me his time was affected by
- Circumstances, i.e. Stadium build plus money pinch that came with that (unavoidable) plus more than season playing with no home (Wembley) all had huge impact.
- Ageing squad and/or players that simply mentally need a change/refresh themselves
- Still no clear strategy on how/who the club was going to buy to support the team in long run, Ndombele & Lo Celso were appeasement buys purely for Poch.
I could mention issues he had as a manager but not necessary, the biggest issue I saw was
- Poch is extremely emotional, it's why he feels that connection with the club, it's also why (from the outside) it looked like he was completely burnt out. If you have ever worked with someone who has burnt out in a workplace, it is an extremely difficult thing to "turn around" while staying in that job (I've never seen it happen and have seen a lot of corporate burnout including ones that led to people choosing different careers)
- The team was in a death spiral, things needed to be shaken up to get us out of that.
Summary, despite all the opinions in contrary, I have never seen how Poch would have been able to stay on and turn it around (the "he earned the chance" conversation), and believing he would have is ignoring a lot of things (players still wanted out even after he left, e.g. Eriksen, Toby)
And I think he remains the one manager the club actually regrets firing (which tells you something re the chances of him turning it around at the time)