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  1. S

    Politics, politics, politics (so long and thanks for all the fish)

    UK GDP in 2016 was $2.689 trillion (year of referendum) UK GDP in 2020 was $2.697 trillion (year of transition period) UK GDP in 2021 was $3.143 trillion (first year after transition period) UK GDP in 2022 was $3.114 trillion UK GDP in 2023 was $3.381 trillion UK GDP in 2024 was $3.264 trillion...
  2. S

    Politics, politics, politics (so long and thanks for all the fish)

    The OBR do not do comparisons of UK economy versus other countries. Nor actually do they do an analysis of UK economic performance. They provide analysis to ministers as to the economic impact of their own policies. Q1 2025 data for GDP growth: UK = 0.7% Germany = 0.3% France = 0.6% The "G7"...
  3. S

    Politics, politics, politics (so long and thanks for all the fish)

    Yes because they're crying over the poll leads for Reform...
  4. S

    Politics, politics, politics (so long and thanks for all the fish)

    Its not true. Its based on a hugely flawed analysis that makes an assumption that our pre-Brexit growth trend would have continued had we stayed in, despite all major EU countries suffering a decline in growth rates in the period after Brexit occurred. Now the study authors can be excused for...
  5. S

    Politics, politics, politics (so long and thanks for all the fish)

    A lot of those studies and assessments are total gonads though. If I just take the first bullet- "studies indicate that the UK's GDP is lower than it would have been had it remained in the EU, with one report suggesting a £140 billion reduction in 2023." All of this analysis is done by...
  6. S

    Politics, politics, politics (so long and thanks for all the fish)

    Well I think its zero for Israel. Which is the important context of the perceived "inconsistency" of us tolerating them having nukes but not tolerating Iran having them.
  7. S

    Politics, politics, politics (so long and thanks for all the fish)

    Seems about right: they toss each other off until socialism is all over the floor....
  8. S

    Politics, politics, politics (so long and thanks for all the fish)

    Bit of research: -Farage was partly booted out of Coutts because he did not meet the criteria. - His dad was allegedly an alcoholic who left when he was 5 years old. - He did go to private school but went to work straight out of school and didn't go to university. - As much as he is comfortably...
  9. S

    Politics, politics, politics (so long and thanks for all the fish)

    If you added a column to the right with "% liklihood to attempt to attack the UK" you'd soon see that the problem very much is Iran....
  10. S

    Politics, politics, politics (so long and thanks for all the fish)

    Agreed that Israel is a unique case, but its a bit like Northern Ireland. The violence is only going to stop when there is a compromise and for me that must involve a two-state solution with the same western investment and protection afforded to an independent, recognised Palestine.
  11. S

    Politics, politics, politics (so long and thanks for all the fish)

    It will likely escalate Iran's desire to attack the west, yes. Unfortunately we've been playing this dance for decades. Lesser discussed point on degrading Iran's weapons production capabilities - are you in favour of action to degrade Russia's ability to attack Ukraine? Because Iran has been...
  12. S

    Politics, politics, politics (so long and thanks for all the fish)

    I think we have to be very careful about getting involved in military action. I was merely discussing the international law points and weighing in on the "Israel and Iran are just as bad as each other" to point out that Israel is a friendly state to the UK and not assessed as a threat in...
  13. S

    Politics, politics, politics (so long and thanks for all the fish)

    Did I say i supported military action against Iran on behalf of Israel? https://www.mi5.gov.uk/director-general-ken-mccallum-gives-latest-threat-update Whole section on Iran under threat from state actors, following on from Russia. And yes we've effectively been in a proxy/cold war against...
  14. S

    Politics, politics, politics (so long and thanks for all the fish)

    Who is the "royal me"? I didn't say it was accurate enough to go to war for, I said that is TBC. But I also said the assessed reliability has to be considered along with how tolerable a nuclear armed Iran is assessed to be. The head of MI5 recently stated that they'd detected and foiled 20...
  15. S

    Politics, politics, politics (so long and thanks for all the fish)

    This is part of a continued and escalating military operation against Iran and its proxies that has been ongoing since then....
  16. S

    Politics, politics, politics (so long and thanks for all the fish)

    I started it? It's my war? What's that supposed to mean? Show me where I claimed Israel is completely accurate in their assessment of Iran's nuclear threat? You're reaching there.
  17. S

    Politics, politics, politics (so long and thanks for all the fish)

    Because of 7th October. Hamas and Hezbollah clearly demonstrated a capability beyond that which was assessed, to breach Israel's intelligence and security and carry out a devastating and successful attack on Israel. So that basically changed the equation. Israel's allies have been urging...
  18. S

    Politics, politics, politics (so long and thanks for all the fish)

    There you go. Crucially, not just fund, but equip. And that equipment has been fired at Israel at an almost weekly basis. Have you ever been to Israel? Israel has been given funding for the iron dome and other sophisticated defences and been told to stand down from retaliating for years as...
  19. S

    Politics, politics, politics (so long and thanks for all the fish)

    Was the justification nuclear weapons? Israel have been striking Iran and their proxies for months to degrade capabilities. This is merely an escalation in that activity.
  20. S

    Politics, politics, politics (so long and thanks for all the fish)

    Attacking the nuclear sites is the questionable bit in international law. The rocket sites and airports are legitimate targets because: 1) Israel has a right in international law to degrade Iran's ability to manufacture and supply weapons that are being used by e.g. Hamas and Hezbollah to attack...
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