The Stats Thread

As a general point, actual goals conceded and scored will be a better reflection of final league position for obvious reasons. The expected goals is a useful tool earlier in the season when the number of goals scored is relatively lower. I'd like to see expected and actual goals plotted together so as to reveal the anomalies (vectors between actual and real would highlight large anomalies).

When we look at reasons for deviation from expected and reality, the role of the goalkeeper can be especially important. De Gea with United springs to mind and the actual 0.77 goals conceded explains their position better. West Brom's 1.58 conceded also shifts them to the relegation zone, although I'm not sure Foster can be blamed.

Liverpool's 2.35 goals scored versus ~1.9 expected can easily explained by Salah, although United's 1.93 versus 1.55 is much harder to explain.

 

Recently more so but Lukaku who is top scorer hasn’t scored a goal outside the area I believe

 

United are "doing a Leicester" this year i.e. roughing people up, fouling, diving, sitting deep, breaking away and scuffing in 1 chance and then scrapping it out.

/offtopic, what happened to that Zlatan fella?

 

http://www.football-observatory.com/IMG/sites/b5wp/2017/220/en/phone/index.html

We have some winners in there and 8 of our starting 11 are featured.

 

Just turned up in LA... took out an advert in the papers to tell them he was there in case they got him messed up with the Zohan

 

Holy sh.it, that is just a list of Tottenham, Tottenham, Tottenham, Tottenham, Tottenham, Tottenham, Tottenham, Tottenham

 

Tottenham Hotspur champions, Newcastle United in Europe: The Premier League table since New Year’s

http://www.hitc.com/en-gb/2018/04/0...-champions-newcastle-united-in-europe-the-pr/

 

So we'll win the clausura. Yay.

 

Yup, that, the FA Cup and the PL next season.

Nice!

 

Very nice Milo. Click on Minutes or Matches or Age.
Then click on Search Player Name and type Kane.
Click on Harry Kane.
Revel in the majestic angle of his dangle. So erect, so proud, lying right on top of Ronaldo and Messi, hard and true, pulsating and unabashed. Naked ambition, pure poetry.

 

Wow. Lovely. And that's not even counting our away games at the Neasden Megadome.

 

Last year we had a great home record. This year we had a great away record. Now if we can bring it all together next year...

 

Our away records have been fairly consistent over the last few seasons. Last year we added an exceptional home record.

2011-12: 27pts (4th)
2012-13: 34pts (4th)
2013-14: 33pts (6th)
2014-15: 31pts (4th)
2015-16: 34pts (2nd)
2016-17: 33pts (5th)
2017-18: 34pts (?)

I was particularly disappointed about the West Brom game as we should have improved our best away performance in the PL.

 

And the bottom line is all about the Arse.

 

The discussion in Poch's thread made me look at the relative performance based on revenues and wages. The numbers have to be last year, though, and come from the Swiss Rambler.

Revenue.


The revenue table matches results fairly well, with a few exceptions. The two Manchester clubs reverse the top two (but see wages below), while we swap places with Arsenal, finishing +3 in places. For all the praise of Klopp he had Liverpool where they should be. Leicester (without CL monies), Everton, Palace and Newcastle (I assume they would be top ten) finish about where they should, but West Ham and Southampton underperformed.

I assume Brighton and Huddersfield would have been relegation favourites based on revenue and it looks like Burnley would have been next in line, which makes their 7th place remarkable. Watford, Swansea and Stoke would be next in line for relegation, although there is not much in it in the bottom half. If Southampton had managed relegation it would have been a complete screw up.

Wages paint a similar picture with a few differences. City winning by such a margin is a good performance or United's is bad or a bit of both. Chelsea wasted a £100m wage gap to miss champions league, Liverpool are again where they should be, and Arsenal's slip is not so dramatic. Our performance is still +3 places, but the gulf in wages shows how well Poch has done.

Again Burnley are the major overperformers, while Leicester and Everton are where they should be. West Ham's fall is not so dramatic, which makes you wonder what the owners are using the revenue for.

Southampton were the major underperformer, but they just got away with it. Swansea and Stoke also did very badly for their wages, which means they could be in big trouble unless they can dump the high-paid underachievers. Anyone want a bet on a double drop fro Swansea?