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Coronavirus

Discussion in 'Randomination' started by markysimmo, 27 Feb 2020.

  1. glasgowspur

    glasgowspur Les Ferdinand

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    I don't trust excess deaths figure, its a fudge.
    Especially if comparing one year to another, i don't know when it changed but the average was taken over 7 years and with a 10% margin of error.
    Thats an indication of how unpredictable death is, 7 years to get an average and still have a 10% leeway.
     
  2. Lilbaz

    Lilbaz Michael Carrick

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    As far as i'm aware it's just the number of deaths compared to the average of the previous 5 years. We know the exact number of deaths recorded each year. They're recorded. Some years will be higher than others, that is normal. Maybe the margin of error is that if it is more than 10% above, it is not normal? Something has changed.
    Or it may be emigration/immigration?
     
    Last edited: 14 Apr 2022
  3. glasgowspur

    glasgowspur Les Ferdinand

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    We know how many deaths there will be each year. What we don't know is when. Less/more in one quarter is usually balanced off later.
     
  4. Lilbaz

    Lilbaz Michael Carrick

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    Yes but then we have the number for the year as a whole and can compare that to the average of the previous 5. We can compare week by week, month by month, quarter by quarter or year by year.
     
  5. glasgowspur

    glasgowspur Les Ferdinand

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    You can compare year to year, there is some merit there, week to week is nonsense, month to month pointless and quarterly only indicates how much fluctuation to expect in the rest of the year.
     
  6. Lilbaz

    Lilbaz Michael Carrick

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    Did you look at the link i posted? It is done week by week but over the year so you can see the trends. Every week from jan to march 27th was below the 5 year average.
     
  7. ricky2tricky4city

    ricky2tricky4city Rafael Van Der Vaart

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    Tin foil hat alert.:D

    I do worry (find it baffling) about the continuing strict zero covid policy in China.
     
  8. Lilbaz

    Lilbaz Michael Carrick

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    A few reasons.

    China has a massively aged population due to the one child rule.

    Chinas vaccine isn't great.

    Only 20% (according to one report i heard) of the elderly have been vaccinated.

    Their strict 0 covid policy means there is little immunity in the population.

    Xi has told the chinese population that their strategy was the best and poured scorn on the west. Difficult to backtrack. Especially with the communist party elections coming up.
     
  9. glasgowspur

    glasgowspur Les Ferdinand

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    Yes i did, i stopped reading when it stated it was provisional data and experimental statistics.
    My knowledge is gleaned from almost 30 years supplying the funeral trade and is neither provisional or experimental.
     
    monkeybarry likes this.
  10. Gazza Dazzla

    Gazza Dazzla John Lacy

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    915753F3-07A9-49B5-9422-AEAD6D157829.jpeg

    ?
     
    glasgowspur and monkeybarry like this.
  11. Robspur12

    Robspur12 Paul Stalteri

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    Are you a serial killer who's continually evaded the police?
     
    harr1984, MKSpur and Mikey10 like this.
  12. glasgowspur

    glasgowspur Les Ferdinand

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    Evaded, pah they've never even got close to me the fools!
     
  13. Legohamster

    Legohamster Les Ferdinand

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    Big fan of Nicola Sturgeon being reported to the police for breaking her own laws on masks
     
  14. monkeybarry

    monkeybarry Chris Perry

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    And suddenly, just like that, Scotland decides to stop Requiring facemasks.

    Hmmmm.......
    .... nothing to see here...
     
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  15. glasgowspur

    glasgowspur Les Ferdinand

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    Repeat offender and not one person in that shop has a mask on.
     
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  16. Gutter Boy

    Gutter Boy Tim Sherwood

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    Like with BJ, hypocracy is the worst of all crimes for politicians.
     
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  17. Gutter Boy

    Gutter Boy Tim Sherwood

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    To be fair that was always scheduled for today. She just accelerated away from the last gatso gantry too quickly
     
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  18. monkeybarry

    monkeybarry Chris Perry

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    Yet still a highly notable skill
     
  19. Robspur12

    Robspur12 Paul Stalteri

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    It’s poor from Sturgeon I agree, but there is surely no equivalence between forgetting to put on a face mask and repeatedly partying and gathering in Downing Street.
     
  20. glasgowspur

    glasgowspur Les Ferdinand

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    As much as i detest sturgeon, no there really isn't any comparison.
    They are both wrong, but bojos crime is the more severe.
    Although the crimes in themselves are relatively minor it does highlight just how weak our politicians and press are when it comes to holding those in power to account.
    Two serial offenders, two leaders involved in disasters everywhere you look and yet who will bring them down?
    You're not telling me that someone somewhere does not have evidence that would sink these two cretins, and yet we sail on.
     
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