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Politics, politics, politics

The upside is rich(ish) trading partners which is frictionless and from a macro view more sway and less cost on outside trading .. Do you benefit from this ?... If you don't there is a good chance its good overall
Not at all really. Transport costs are only going one way, so we have a factory in central Europe for serving the mainland.

Our UK arms are for serving the UK and RoW
 
I think much of the product/service stuff is more down to their border situation and having to be more closely entwined into a customs union than we would.

If we were to go for EFTA/EEA we would need cross party support to get the bill through, that would mean we wouldn't need DUP votes, which would mean we wouldn't need to be in the customs union.
Why don't they export products using non EU rules if cheaper... It seems its cheaper to use EU rules either way

I dont think it's border issues, it is to ensure access to the EU(more expensive to have and prove two production methods )
 
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Absolutely. There's a huge competitive disadvantage to being in the EU - not least their reluctance to trade freely outside the group.

Imports are more expensive, exports are equally hit with tariffs, processing costs are higher. Even hidden costs like lobbying DEFRA and MPs to make them use a sensible level of resistance to arbitrary rules coming from the Borg. My time sat in endless breakfasts and lunches with MPs to convince them that keeping my staff employed should be a priority of theirs, etc.

The cost of being a business in the EU is massive. One that, in my experience, is not even nearly outweighed by the market that membership opens up.

This is nonsense. The EU created lobbying. Outside the EU there will be no lobbying?

The EU is a big advocate of free trade. It is quite simple - it’s the worlds largest customs union, where there are no barriers to trade! On top of that it has circa 50 free trade agreements with 3rd nations like Canada. The UK is not agile and able to broker UK specific trade deals but this is more than offset by the negotiating strength and the above free trade facilities that the EU provides to us.

You stated that the EU stops you from exporting and leaving the EU would allow you to export more to non EU nations. Now you’ve said the EU doesn’t stop you exporting. Where will the new markets come from and why aren’t you selling to them now?

You then went on to suggest that being in the EU creates lobby costs! The USA or other non-EU nations don’t have lobbying? And how would you affect and influence EU and US regulation of medical supplies with no local breakfasts or representation? You would have to pay foreign entities to represent you in Washington or the EU where the regulators are set for global medical norms.

No wonder you voted remain.

I am amazed by how snake oil Brexit claims are not banished for being absurd. It’s as though people have given up on truth. As someone who pans quacks and respects science, how can you contradict every credible economist who thinks Brexit will makes the UK poorer? Pre-Brexit that would make you one of them - an unscientific quack. Now it’s seems permissible that nonsense is unsubstantiated and made up to fit the (failing) ideology. The sooner people can see the economic truth the less the UK economy will suffer.


Sitting on my porcelain throne using glory-glory.co.uk mobile app
 
Why don't they export products using non EU rules if cheaper... It seems its cheaper to use EU rules either way

I dont think it's border issues, it is to ensure access to the EU(more expensive to have and prove two production methods )
For some it would be cheaper to have two production methods. For many, 85% of this country's GDP there is no export to the EU at all. For them it makes no sense to work to EU regulations for goods and services nevertheless traded with them.

I understand that in many fields it will be cheaper to harmonise everything and that's understandable. Don't let anyone try to convince you that proving origin is in any way difficult, complex or a significant barrier to trade though. It's something I've dealt with plenty and be administrative overhead is no more than producing an EC sales list, or the work involved in bringing products in and out of Guernsey. Again, there may be exceptions but if your product is reasonably regular in its make up, then it's simple
 
This is nonsense. The EU created lobbying. Outside the EU there will be no lobbying?
I've never had to lobby over anything that wasn't an EU directive.

Outside the EU I would be free to compete on equal terms with my competitors around the world. That's all I want, an equal footing.

The EU is a big advocate of free trade. It is quite simple - it’s the worlds largest customs union, where there are no barriers to trade! On top of that it has circa 50 free trade agreements with 3rd nations like Canada. The UK is not agile and able to broker UK specific trade deals but this is more than offset by the negotiating strength and the above free trade facilities that the EU provides to us.
The EU promotes free trade within its own borders, it continually puts up direct and indirect barriers to external trade.

I already trade with the EU from a factory that will remain in the EU when the UK leaves. What I want is to be able to trade with the rest of the world without the interference of the EU.

You stated that the EU stops you from exporting and leaving the EU would allow you to export more to non EU nations. Now you’ve said the EU doesn’t stop you exporting. Where will the new markets come from and why aren’t you selling to them now?
I've never stated that the EU stops me trading with anyone. Merely that UK membership of the EU makes us unable to compete on price with the rest of the world.

The materials we buy are either subject to tariffs or are expensive because they're from the EU. The cost of creating our products is higher due to being in the EU. Then there are tariffs applied in many of those sales because the EU does not trade freely with all the countries where my customer base would be.

You then went on to suggest that being in the EU creates lobby costs! The USA or other non-EU nations don’t have lobbying?
I've only ever lobbied the UK government to give me derogations from EU law. Sometimes that works, other times we swallow the cost of that law.

Outside of the EU I wouldn't have had to do any of that work or pay for others to help.


And how would you affect and influence EU and US regulation of medical supplies with no local breakfasts or representation? You would have to pay foreign entities to represent you in Washington or the EU where the regulators are set for global medical norms.
I neither sell medical supplies nor have any interest in altering foreign regulation.

I just don't want the EU pricing me out of the global market.

I am amazed by how snake oil Brexit claims are not banished for being absurd. It’s as though people have given up on truth. As someone who pans quacks and respects science, how can you contradict every credible economist who thinks Brexit will makes the UK poorer? Pre-Brexit that would make you one of them - an unscientific quack. Now it’s seems permissible that nonsense is unsubstantiated and made up to fit the (failing) ideology. The sooner people can see the economic truth the less the UK economy will suffer.


Sitting on my porcelain throne using glory-glory.co.uk mobile app
There are plenty of economists who disagree with your view. I've linked a few in this thread.

More importantly, those who invest my meagre savings and investments, those who I trust my son's future to, are confident of a strong UK market no matter how Brexit develops. Mainly this is down to the fact that most people underestimate just how readily businesses just get on with doing business. Hurdles come and go, but we keep changing to cope with them.

If you leave the echo chamber for long enough you will hear those opinions too.
 
@Scara I don't mean to take you to task, but there are so many lies about the benefits of Brexit. It is time they are called out. If the benefits to Brexit exist, great lets hear them, but when its gonad*s, it has to be highlighted. Because Brexit will impact people; make them poorer mainly, but also potentially reduce their rights. Lies then need exposing.

Fundamental flaw to your argument: outside the EU there isn't free non-tariff trade. Quite the opposite. As well as tariffs there are regulations that impair global trade. The EU is an improvement moving towards freer trade as you know.

You state the EU impacts your companies non-EU trade, but you say you trade with the rest of the world now. So the EU can't be that prohibitive. And you failed to tell me how leaving would create more exports for you. Other than you think you'll be able to import materials cheaper. What materials are these? You say you don't sell medical supplies but previously wrote you provide services to medical industries. Confused.

Above you also contradict this:

Yes, the EU applies regulation whether we sell in the UK, the US, the Middle East or the EU. One of the main points in the "sovereignty" argument is that we should be free to apply the rules we wish to the products we wish. Of course, if we want to sell to the EU then those products should meet EU regulations but that shouldn't be the case when we try to compete globally.

...this undermines your credibility on the subject. As though you'd say anything to present Brexit as positive, in spite of the truth?

You say there are plenty of economists who don't think Brexit will harm the UK economy, but you fail to cite one. Patrick Milfield or whatever his name is, is the one rolled out by the likes of Jacob ReeseMog, but he has also said that Brexit would decimate UK manufacturing and car production.

I'd suggest that reading the Telegraph and Spectator (2 publications you recommended) is the Eco chamber. Funded by anti-EU owners every article is feeding the owners pet bias. On the EU these publications are not scientific or balanced in the slightest. Boris' position owes a lot to them too. If you were offered £350,000 a year to be pro-Brexit (the sum Boris is paid by the Barclay brothers to write for the Telegraph) you'd break their hand off, even if you were previously on the fence (as Boris was). The act of writing the biased tripe, bouncing off other deluded (all be it eloquent intelligent) people like Daniel Hannon, creates the Eco chamber and mutual aggrandisement.
 
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Is it a shame Corbyn carries such baggage? What would the right and @Scara do without it? The media and powers that be will not let Corbyn's past go. Regardless of what he plans to do - probably not as socialist or extreme as the right fearmonger - the portrayal of him will undermine his work. I've not bothered to go into the details of his manifesto because, like an idolised potential Spurs signing, it probably will never happen.

I don't want to tinkle on anyone strawberies, I would like to see a socialist try some fresh ideas in this country. I have two concerns tho: the ideas are not really as fresh as they should be, his 'revolutionary' side is dated possibly even lacking innovation, and more importantly, the establisment will not let Corbyn succeed. I will back him. I believe in shaking things up, and I don't believe he would wreck the economy. His only chance, imo, is to embrace some Blairite traits, reach out to business, make sure the establishment know they are safe, that socialism doesn't mean productivity or an appreciation for commerce is lost. If he could develop that side to his stance - and more importantly image - then he could succeed. He couldn't be worse than May and a divided, stuck, Tory mess.

It genuinely amazes me to read and hear that actual fully-formed, learned individuals still harbour the same opinions about Corbyn as EDL Dave down the Crown and Anchor.


Sitting on my porcelain throne using Fapatalk
 
Can we have a Brexit outcome poll? Something along the lines of what the position will be as of March 29:

No-deal Brexit,
Remain,
Brexit on UK Parliament/EU agreed deal,
Article 50 extension for People's vote,
Article 50 extension and still internally negotiating UK parliament's position on Brexit.
Other e.g. general election
 
Can we have a Brexit outcome poll? Something along the lines of what the position will be as of March 29:

No-deal Brexit,
Remain,
Brexit on UK Parliament/EU agreed deal,
Article 50 extension for People's vote,
Article 50 extension and still internally negotiating UK parliament's position on Brexit.
Other e.g. general election

I'll go for:

Article 50 extension and still internally negotiating UK parliament's position on Brexit.
 
While we are selling arms to Saudi Arabia pointing to him sharing a stage at a pro Palestine rally should really be moot.

Too right, but let's also consider the big double standard. Scara had no trouble with that criminal and murderer Pinochet being a buddy with Thatcher, oh no! Also hasn't May shared a platform with Netanyahu? I rest my case.
 
Can we have a Brexit outcome poll? Something along the lines of what the position will be as of March 29:

No-deal Brexit,
Remain,
Brexit on UK Parliament/EU agreed deal,
Article 50 extension for People's vote,
Article 50 extension and still internally negotiating UK parliament's position on Brexit.
Other e.g. general election

No deal
 
I can't make my mind up between
No deal and
Article 50 extension and still internally negotiating UK parliament's position on Brexit.
 
Can someone stick a poll in this thread?

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