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Coronavirus

I don't trust excess deaths figure, its a fudge.
Especially if comparing one year to another, i don't know when it changed but the average was taken over 7 years and with a 10% margin of error.
Thats an indication of how unpredictable death is, 7 years to get an average and still have a 10% leeway.

As far as i'm aware it's just the number of deaths compared to the average of the previous 5 years. We know the exact number of deaths recorded each year. They're recorded. Some years will be higher than others, that is normal. Maybe the margin of error is that if it is more than 10% above, it is not normal? Something has changed.
Or it may be emigration/immigration?
 
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As far as i'm aware it's just the number of deaths compared to the average of the previous 5 years. We know the exact number of deaths recorded each year. They're recorded.
We know how many deaths there will be each year. What we don't know is when. Less/more in one quarter is usually balanced off later.
 
We know how many deaths there will be each year. What we don't know is when. Less/more in one quarter is usually balanced off later.

Yes but then we have the number for the year as a whole and can compare that to the average of the previous 5. We can compare week by week, month by month, quarter by quarter or year by year.
 
Yes but then we have the number for the year as a whole and can compare that to the average of the previous 5. We can compare week by week, month by month, quarter by quarter or year by year.
You can compare year to year, there is some merit there, week to week is nonsense, month to month pointless and quarterly only indicates how much fluctuation to expect in the rest of the year.
 
You can compare year to year, there is some merit there, week to week is nonsense, month to month pointless and quarterly only indicates how much fluctuation to expect in the rest of the year.

Did you look at the link i posted? It is done week by week but over the year so you can see the trends. Every week from jan to march 27th was below the 5 year average.
 
Tin foil hat alert.:D

I do worry (find it baffling) about the continuing strict zero covid policy in China.

A few reasons.

China has a massively aged population due to the one child rule.

Chinas vaccine isn't great.

Only 20% (according to one report i heard) of the elderly have been vaccinated.

Their strict 0 covid policy means there is little immunity in the population.

Xi has told the chinese population that their strategy was the best and poured scorn on the west. Difficult to backtrack. Especially with the communist party elections coming up.
 
Did you look at the link i posted? It is done week by week but over the year so you can see the trends. Every week from jan to march 27th was below the 5 year average.


Yes i did, i stopped reading when it stated it was provisional data and experimental statistics.
My knowledge is gleaned from almost 30 years supplying the funeral trade and is neither provisional or experimental.
 
It’s poor from Sturgeon I agree, but there is surely no equivalence between forgetting to put on a face mask and repeatedly partying and gathering in Downing Street.


As much as i detest sturgeon, no there really isn't any comparison.
They are both wrong, but bojos crime is the more severe.
Although the crimes in themselves are relatively minor it does highlight just how weak our politicians and press are when it comes to holding those in power to account.
Two serial offenders, two leaders involved in disasters everywhere you look and yet who will bring them down?
You're not telling me that someone somewhere does not have evidence that would sink these two cretins, and yet we sail on.
 
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