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The Stats Thread

Discussion in 'Spurs News & Views' started by zin, 4 Dec 2012.

  1. SteveAWOL

    SteveAWOL Jimmy Neighbour

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    https://experimental361.com/2019/03/19/scatter-graphics-premier-league-19-mar-2019/

    upload_2019-3-20_10-5-58.png
    It’s hard to say whether Huddersfield‘s season is more ruined than this graphic, but their eye-wateringly bad shot conversion is far from ideal either way. They’ve needed over twice as many attempts as the average team to score each league goal this season. Chelsea‘s desire to recruit another striker in January is understandable given their relatively average finishing this season despite having created all those chances – a clinical Arsenal side have scored more goals despite carving out far fewer opportunities.

    upload_2019-3-20_10-6-17.png
    Despite having sprung a few leaks lately, Liverpool‘s defence still looks excellent overall. If the last chart wasn’t bad enough for Huddersfield, they’re also leakier at the back than anyone except Fulham despite allowing their opponents a relatively respectable number of opportunities (fewer than Man Utd for example).

    upload_2019-3-20_10-14-50.png
    In raw shot terms it’s the same story as before Christmas: Emirates Marketing Project tend to dominate matches and currently take over 10 more shots than their opponents on average. Liverpool and Chelseaare the only sides anywhere near as dominant, while Burnley stand out as the team who spend the most time on the back foot.
     
    Last edited: 20 Mar 2019
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  2. mudshark

    mudshark Jermaine Jenas

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    It would be interesting to see what our xGD line has been doing since December. The fact it was hovering around about 0.5 goals south of what we'd got used to would seem to be supportive of the perception that we've become weaker defensively while at the same time struggled to create as much as in previous seasons. I guess the moral is we should consider ourselves lucky still to be where we are.
     
  3. Raziel

    Raziel Nick Barmby

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    Honestly think you put any of the top 6 in Wembley for a season and a half and see how they perform, would put a reasonable punt on none of them matching our numbers ..
     
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  4. jts1882

    jts1882 Justin Edinburgh

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    Lefties?

    4 Of the 42 players in the Premier League this season with seven or more goals, four are left-footed — less than 10 per cent

    16 Of the 43 players with five or more assists in the Premier League this season, 16 are left-footed — just over 37 per cent
     
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  5. jts1882

    jts1882 Justin Edinburgh

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    [​IMG]

    Not sure what to make of this. The total by the top two this year is exceptional, but the record has been broken in each of the last three seasons.
     
  6. jts1882

    jts1882 Justin Edinburgh

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    Jonathan Wilson's review of the PL's tactical season: Premier League 2018-19 review: what we learned tactically from the season

     
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  7. SteveAWOL

    SteveAWOL Jimmy Neighbour

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  8. SteveAWOL

    SteveAWOL Jimmy Neighbour

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  9. SteveAWOL

    SteveAWOL Jimmy Neighbour

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  10. Bullet

    Bullet Rafael Van Der Vaart

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    Thanks Steve, those Prem charts are very interesting reading, though not surprising
     
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  11. SteveAWOL

    SteveAWOL Jimmy Neighbour

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  12. SteveAWOL

    SteveAWOL Jimmy Neighbour

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  13. alekaras

    alekaras The ITK of IDK

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    Yup, we suck.
     
  14. SteveAWOL

    SteveAWOL Jimmy Neighbour

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    https://experimental361.com/2019/10/08/game-states-8-oct-2019/

    While there are no surprises at the very top, it’s still impressive that Liverpool have only spent 21 minutes trailing this season (after Newcastle took a shock lead). Aston Villa having spent the joint-fourth lowest share of minutes losing is also noteworthy, with their recent hammering of Norwich nudging the Canaries beyond Watford as the top flight club to have spent the most time losing (although the Hornets have spent just 40 minutes in a winning position this term). Daniel Farke’s side have also spent a smaller proportion of their time drawing than any club in the top four divisions.

    upload_2019-10-8_15-48-3.png
     
  15. mudshark

    mudshark Jermaine Jenas

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    I thought it would be interesting to generate a table based on expected results. As expected, we'd actually be worse off if things had gone according to the stats. The second table below shows how the luck has been distributed. Looks like Solskjær hasn't had a lot come his way. Stats obtained from https://understat.com/league/EPL
    Code:
    xPts Table:         P  W  D  L   F   A  GD  Pt  +/- Pos
    ------------------------------------------------------
    01 Emirates Marketing Project         8  7  1  0  26  10  16  22  -6  +1
    02 Liverpool        8  6  1  1  17   7  10  19  +5  -1
    03 Man United       8  6  1  1  12   6   6  19 -10  +9
    04 Chelsea          8  5  2  1  17  10   7  17  -3  +1
    05 Arsenal          8  4  2  2  12  13  -1  14  +1  -2
    06 Southampton      8  3  3  2  12  12   0  12  -5 +11
    07 Brighton         8  3  2  3  11  12  -1  11  -2  +7
    08 Crystal Palace   8  3  2  3   9  10  -2  11  +3  -2
    09 Everton          8  2  4  2  11  11   1  10  -3  +9
    10 Wolves           8  2  4  2  10  11  -1  10   0  +1
    11 Leicester        8  2  4  2   8   9  -1  10  +4  -7
    12 Tottenham        8  2  4  2  10  12  -2  10  +1  -3
    13 Watford          8  2  4  2  11  15  -4  10  -7  +7
    14 Burnley          8  2  3  3   9   9   0   9  +3  -7
    15 Aston Villa      8  2  2  4  11  13  -2   8   0   0
    16 Sheff Utd        8  1  3  4   9  11  -2   6  +3  -3
    17 Bournemouth      8  1  3  4  11  15  -4   6  +5  -7
    ------------------------------------------------------
    18 West Ham         8  2  0  6  11  16  -5   6  +6 -10
    19 Norwich          8  1  0  7  10  17  -7   3  +3   0
    20 Newcastle        8  0  3  5   5  13  -8   3  +5  -4
    Code:
    Pts - xPts Table:    F  xF   A  xA  GD  xGD +/- Pts xPts +/-
    -----------------------------------------------------------
    01 West Ham         11  11  11  16   0  -5   +5  12   6  +6
    02 Liverpool        20  17   6   7  14  10   +4  24  19  +5
    03 Bournemouth      13  11  13  15   0  -4   +4  11   6  +5
    04 Newcastle         5   5  13  13  -8  -8    0   8   3  +5
    05 Leicester        14   8   7   9   7  -1   +8  14  10  +4
    06 Burnley          11   9   9   9   2   0   +2  12   9  +3
    07 Sheff Utd         7   9   7  11   0  -2   +2   9   6  +3
    08 Crystal Palace    8   9   8  10   0  -2   +2  14  11  +3
    09 Norwich          10  10  21  17 -11  -7   -4   6   3  +3
    10 Tottenham        14  10  12  12   2  -2   +4  11  10  +1
    11 Arsenal          13  12  11  13   2  -1   +3  15  14  +1
    12 Aston Villa      13  11  12  13   1  -2   +3   8   8   0
    13 Wolves           11  10  11  11   0  -1   +1  10  10   0
    14 Brighton          8  11  10  12  -2  -1   -1   9  11  -2
    15 Chelsea          18  17  14  10   4   7   -3  14  17  -3
    16 Everton           6  11  13  10  -7   1   -8   7  10  -3
    17 Southampton       8  12  15  12  -7   0   -7   7  12  -5
    -----------------------------------------------------------
    18 Emirates Marketing Project         27  26   9  10  18  16   +2  16  22  -6
    19 Watford           4  11  20  15 -16  -4  -12   3  10  -7
    20 Man United        9  12   8   6   1   6   -5   9  19 -10
     
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  16. scaramanga

    scaramanga Terry Dyson Staff Member

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    Interesting. The only surprise on that bottom table is Utd for me - they have seemed brick rather than unlucky to me. No surprise about West Ham and Victimpool especially.
     

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